A
project is a planned set of interrelated tasks to be expected over a fixed and within
a certain cost and other limitations.
My
project worth 20 million of which 15 million is the loan from Mkombozi Bank and
our own contribution is 5 million. This project is the benefit based with the
five year implementation. Different techniques of project decision criteria
will be used to determine if the project is recommended to be implemented. The
techniques are:
·
Benefit Cost Ratio (BCR)
·
Net Present Value (NPV)
·
Internal Rate of Return (IRR)
The
cost will be incurred by our project will be divided in the following explanations;
EQUIPMENT COSTS
S/N
|
Equipment
|
Quantity
|
@
Price
|
Total
Cost
|
1.
|
Chicken
shed (rent)
|
1
|
2,000,000
|
2,000,000.00
|
2.
|
Trays
|
100
|
2,000
|
200,000.00
|
3.
|
Feeders
at
·
Chick level
·
Chicken level
|
300
150
|
2,000
3,000
|
600,000.00
450,000.00
|
4.
|
Electricity
bulbs
|
50
|
1,000
|
50,000.00
|
5.
|
Wheel
barrow
|
2
|
50,000
|
100,000.00
|
6.
|
Spade
|
2
|
15,000
|
30,000.00
|
7.
|
Blooms
|
5
|
2,000
|
10,000.00
|
8.
|
Exercise
books
|
2
|
3,000
|
6,000.00
|
9.
|
Pens
|
5
|
200
|
1,000.00
|
10.
|
Weight
|
1
|
200,000
|
200,000.00
|
11.
|
Generator
|
1
|
800,000
|
800,000.00
|
Grand total
|
4,447,000/=
|
MATERIAL
COST
S/N
|
Material
|
Quantity
|
@
Cost (price)
|
Total
cost (price)
|
|
1.
|
Food
|
25,833 Kgs
|
275.00
|
6,625,000.00
|
|
2.
|
Chicks
|
2,000
|
1,500
|
3,000,000.00
|
|
3.
|
Drugs
i.
Antibiotics
ii.
Vaccines
|
60 Kgs
60 Kgs
|
4,000.00
4,000.00
|
240,000.00
240,000.00
|
|
4.
|
Glucose
|
40 packets
|
500.00
|
20,000.00
|
|
Grand total
|
10,125,000/=
|
OTHER
COSTS INCLUDING LABOUR
S/N
|
Per
month
|
Per
year
|
Total
|
|
1.
|
Four
(4) people
|
100,000
|
1,200,000
|
3,600,000
|
2.
|
Water
|
50,000
|
600,000
|
600,000
|
3.
|
Electricity
|
20,000
|
240,000
|
240,000
|
4.
|
Announcement
and setting cost
|
5,000
|
||
5.
|
Communication
costs
|
20,000
|
||
6.
|
Miscellaneous
|
963,000/=
|
||
Grand
total
|
5,428,000/=
|
Loan from Mkombozi bank
has to be paid in the 10% interest rate
Provided loan is 15,000,000/=
How the loan is going
to be paid the bellow information explain
The compounding formula
needs to be used in order to find the future value from the present benefits
Therefore, 15,000,000/=
million after five years
From;
Future value is
24,157,650/= Tshs to be paid for 5 years.
Therefore, we are
required to pay Mkombozi bank 4,831,530 each year for five years at the
interest rate of 10%.
BENEFIT OF THE FIRST YEAR
At
the first year the project will produce for six month; where per day will
produce 300,000/=, T.shs, per month will be 9,000,000/= T.shs and per half of
whole year will produce 54,000,000 which complete the first year (Gross
Benefit).
Costs
RUNNING
COSTS INCURRED DURING THE FIRST YEAR
|
|||
S/N
|
Item
|
Per
month
|
Total
Per year
|
1.
|
Food
|
2,250,000/=
|
20,500,000/=
|
2.
|
Drugs
|
40,000/=
|
240,000/=
|
3.
|
Electricity bill payment
|
20,000/=
|
120,000/=
|
4.
|
Water bill payment
|
15,000/=
|
90,000/=
|
5.
|
4 Labors
|
@ 100,000/=
|
2,400,000/=
|
6.
|
Loan payment
|
-
|
4,831,530/=
|
7.
|
Tax payment
|
-
|
13,500,000/=
|
Grand
total
|
41,681,530/=
|
Therefore,
Net benefit = Gross Benefit – all costs
Net profit for first year = 54,000,000 – 41,681,530
=
12,318,470/=
Net profit for the first year is 12,318,470/=
BENEFIT
OF THE SECOND YEAR
The project will
produce 385,000/= per day for the second year which 11,550,000/= per month and
138,600,000/= per year (Gross Benefit).
Costs
RUNNING
COSTS INCURRED DURING THE SECOND YEAR
|
||||
S/N
|
Item
|
Per month
|
Total Per year
|
|
1.
|
Food
|
1,968,750
|
23,625,000/=
|
|
2.
|
Chicks
|
5,000,000/=
|
||
3.
|
Feeders
|
500,000/=
|
||
4.
|
Water
bill payment
|
25,000
|
300,000/=
|
|
5.
|
Electricity
bill payment
|
23333.30
|
280,000/=
|
|
6.
|
Tax
payment
|
17,000,000/=
|
||
7.
|
4
Labors
|
@ 225,000/=
|
10,800,000/=
|
|
8.
|
Buying
car
|
20,000,000/=
|
||
9.
|
Loan
payment
|
4,831,530/=
|
||
10.
|
Transport
cost
|
5,663,470/=
|
||
11.
|
Chicken
shed renting
|
8,000,000/=
|
||
Grand
Total
|
96,000,000/=
|
|||
Therefore,
Net benefit= gross
benefit – all costs
Net benefit for the
second year = 108,000,000 - 96,000,000
=
12,000,000/=
Net benefit for the
second year = 12,000,000/= (undiscounted cash flow)
BENEFITS OF THE THIRD YEAR
The
project will produce 300,000/= per day, 9,000,000/= per month and 99,000,000/=
per year. (gross benefits).
COSTS
Running
costs incurred during the third year
|
|||
S/N
|
Item
|
Per
month
|
Total
per year
|
1.
|
Food
|
2,250,000/=
|
35,000,000/=
|
2.
|
Water bill payment
|
16.666.60
|
200,000/=
|
3.
|
Electricity bill payment
|
20,833.30
|
250,000/=
|
4.
|
4 labors
|
329,000/=
|
15,800,000/=
|
5.
|
Tax payment
|
2,250,000/=
|
27,000,000/=
|
6.
|
Transport cost
|
15,800,000/=
|
|
7.
|
Loan
payment
|
4,831,530/=
|
|
Grand
total
|
93,081,530/=
|
Therefore,
Net benefit = Gross
benefit – All costs
Net benefits for third
year = 108,000,000/= - 93,081,530/=
Net benefit for third
year is 14,918,470/= T.shs
BENEFITS OF THE FOURTH YEAR
The
project will produce 275,000/= per day for the first year, which is equal to
8,250,000/= per month and 99,000,000/= per year (Gross benefits).
COSTS
Running
Costs incurred during the fourth year
|
|||
S/N
|
Item
|
Costs
per Month
|
Total
Per year
|
1.
|
Water bills payment
|
18,333.30
|
220,000/=
|
2.
|
Electricity bill payment
|
22,500/=
|
270,000/=
|
3.
|
4 labors
|
@ 225,000/=
|
10,800,000/=
|
4.
|
Food
|
35,000,000/=
|
|
5.
|
Chicks
|
6,000,000/=
|
|
6.
|
Tax payment
|
24,750,000/=
|
|
7.
|
Transport costs
|
5,500,000/=
|
|
8.
|
Loan payment
|
4,831,530/=
|
|
9.
|
Communication costs
|
500,000/=
|
|
Grand
total
|
87,871,530/=
|
Net
benefit = Gross benefit – All costs
Net
benefits for the fourth year = 99,000,000/= - 87,871,530/=
=
11,126,470/=
Net
benefits for the fourth year is 11,126,470/=
BENEFITS FOR THE FIFTH YEAR
The
project will produce 165,000/= per day for the fifth year which is 4,950,000
per month and 59,400,000/= per year.
COSTS
Running
cost during the fifth year
|
|||
S/N
|
Items
|
Costs
per Month
|
Total
Costs per Year
|
1.
|
Water bill payment
|
18,333.30
|
220,000/=
|
2.
|
Electricity bill payment
|
25,000/=
|
300.000/=
|
3.
|
4 labor payment
|
@ 300,000/=
|
14,400,000/=
|
4.
|
Food
|
32,000,000/=
|
|
5.
|
Tax payment
|
14,850,000/=
|
|
6.
|
Communication Costs
|
520,000/=
|
|
7.
|
Transport cost
|
8,000,000/=
|
|
8.
|
Loan payment
|
4,831,530/=
|
|
Grand
total
|
67,921,530/=
|
Therefore,
Net
benefit = Gross benefits – All costs
Net
benefit for the fifth year = 59,400,000/= - 67,921,530/=
=
-8,921,570/=
Net
benefits for fifth year = -8,921,570/=
After
the analysis of net benefits of each year, then we need to calculate; the
Benefit Cost Ratio (BCR), the Net Present Value (NPV) and Internal Rate of
Return (IRR).
a)
THE
BENEFIT COST RATIO
Benefit
cost ratio (BCR) =
The Benefit Cost Ratio (BCR) = 1.7
Therefore,
the benefit cost ratio (BCR) of the chicken layering is 1.7. This project is
worth to undertaken.
a)
NET
PRESENT VALUE (NPV)
To
calculate NPV is given by the formula
Before
we calculate the NPV we have to calculate the discounted cash flow at the rate
of 10%.
This
is given by the formula,
NPV
(THE CASH FLOW IN T.SHs
|
|||
Year
|
Cash
Flow in T.shs
|
Discounting
factors at 10%
|
Discounted
Cash Flow
|
0
|
20,000,000/=
|
||
1
|
12,318,400/=
|
0.9091
|
11,198,721.08
|
2
|
12,000,000/=
|
0.8264
|
9,916,800.00
|
3
|
14,918,470/=
|
0.7515
|
11,208,246.51
|
4
|
11,128,470/=
|
0.6830
|
7,600,745.01
|
5
|
-8,921,570/=
|
0.6209
|
-5,539,402.09
|
NPV
|
33,845,707.79
|
a)
THE
INTERNAL RATE OF RETURN
To calculate the IRR
there is a need of to find the NPV2 with a negative value because
there is already NPV1 with the positive value. The NPV2
here is calculated using at the rate of 50% as follows.
This has summarized in
the table below
From,
Therefore
to calculate the NPVt at the interest rate of 50% is given by
Therefore, IRR (the
Internal Rate of Return) is given by the formula
Where,
IRR= Internal
rate of Return
NPV1 = Highest
NPV (with positive value)
NPV2 = Lowest
NPV (with negative value)
R1 = Discount
rate for NPV1
R2 = Discount rate for NPV2
Given data,
IRR= …?
NPV1 = 13,845,707.79
NPV2 = -1,011,231.3
R1 = 0.1
R2 = 0.5
Therefore,
IRR= 0.5
IRR= 50%
Therefore, the Internal Rate of Return
is 50%.
All
in all this project (chicken rearing establishment), is worth because it has
the Net Present Value of 33,845,707.79 which is greater than zero. Also this
project will have more benefit than coast Ratio of 1.7; This shows that the
project will have more benefits than costs. The internal rate of return is 50%,
this shows the maximum interest rate that the project could pay for the
resources used if the project is to recover its investment and operating costs
and still break even.
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